the rate of opposition to same-sex marriage is dropping at about 1% per year in tracking polls. this actually mirrors almost exactly the drop in opposition to the legalization of interracial marriage, which also dropped about a percent a year. Interestingly, it was 1967 when the supreme court set aside the last state laws against interracial marriage in the Love v. Va. case - but it wasn’t until 1991 when opposition to legalization dropped below 50%. That’s right. Until 1991 a majority of Americans in gallup’s tracking felt that interracial marriage should be illegal. Not are you okay with it, or is it okay for your son or daughter, but should it be legal. We need strong courts when it comes to rights issues b/c majority rule on minority rights is never a good thing. I would also argue that with only a 1% drop a year it is doubtful that there are many individual people out there actually changing their minds. Sure, some are - after having the issue touch someone close to them or a human face being put on it for them. But at 1% a year, most change is happening simply b/c one cohort is aging out of the polling frame and a new cohort of 18 yr olds is aging into the poll.Support for Same-Sex Marriage by Age and State » Sociological Images
All I learned from this is that there is no point trying to change old people.
That & the fact that people over the age of 45 are seemingly much more likely to vote than the 18-29 crowd are. At least that’s what happened in states like California & Maine, the 7th and 8th states on the list.